Forex Market

Sri Lanka Rupee Weakens as Dollar Strength Holds



Sri Lanka rupee dips against US dollar while bond yields remain largely steady amid cautious trading.


Sri Lanka Rupee Weakens Against Dollar as Markets Stay Steady

The Sri Lanka rupee weakened against the US dollar on Friday, reflecting mild pressure in the forex market, while government bond yields remained broadly stable as traders maintained a cautious stance ahead of policy cues.

The rupee was quoted at 303.15/25 per US dollar, slipping slightly from Thursday’s 303.00/10, dealers reported. Despite the mild depreciation, market activity remained moderate, with traders noting no major central bank intervention during the session.


Currency Market Overview

On Friday, the Sri Lankan rupee continued to face modest downward pressure, in line with regional currencies, as the dollar index remained firm amid global uncertainty. Dealers said import demand and routine dollar settlements added to the currency’s softness, though the pace of weakening was contained by steady export conversions.

Telegraphic transfer (TT) rates for the American dollar stood at 299.50 for buying and 306.50 for selling. Meanwhile, the British pound traded at 401.75 buying and 413.11 selling, and the euro stood at 348.49 buying and 359.86 selling.

Market participants noted that while the rupee’s decline was not dramatic, sentiment remains watchful as the country continues its post-debt restructuring recovery efforts. Analysts expect the rupee to hover near current levels unless external market shocks emerge.


Bond Yields Stay Broadly Flat

Government bond yields remained steady across most maturities, suggesting investor sentiment is stabilizing despite the rupee’s mild weakness. The benchmark 15.12.2026 bond was quoted at 8.30/40 percent, slightly higher than Thursday’s 8.30/35 percent, reflecting a marginal upward correction.

The 15.09.2027 bond traded flat at 8.75/85 percent, while the 01.07.2028 maturity edged down to 9.25/30 percent from 9.25/32 percent. Similarly, the 15.12.2029 bond saw a minor uptick to 9.70/75 percent, up from 9.70/73 percent, while longer tenures such as the 15.12.2032 bond rose to 10.50/65 percent, and the 01.11.2033 bond eased slightly to 10.67/75 percent.

Dealers observed that the stability in yields points to a balanced investor outlook, with neither aggressive buying nor selling pressure dominating the market. This trend aligns with a cautious yet optimistic approach to Sri Lanka’s improving fiscal conditions.


Stock Market Shows Modest Gains

In the equity market, the Colombo Stock Exchange traded higher on Friday, reflecting a positive investor mood despite minor currency fluctuations. The All Share Price Index (ASPI) rose 0.15 percent, gaining 33.81 points to close at 22,449, while the S&P SL20 advanced 0.44 percent or 27.63 points to reach 6,254.

Analysts attributed the mild gains to investor confidence in select blue-chip counters and expectations of stable corporate earnings in the final quarter. The uptick also suggests cautious optimism, with traders awaiting clarity on inflation trends and potential monetary easing measures.


Outlook for the Sri Lanka Rupee and Market Sentiment

The Sri Lanka rupee’s short-term trajectory will likely depend on external inflows, remittance strength, and the pace of debt restructuring. With the dollar maintaining global dominance, the rupee could experience mild volatility but is not expected to face sharp declines unless import demand surges unexpectedly.

Economists emphasize that the Central Bank of Sri Lanka’s calibrated foreign exchange management and steady interest rate environment have helped cushion major shocks. Bond market stability further indicates investor confidence in medium-term prospects, even as external pressures persist.

In summary, while the Sri Lanka rupee weakened slightly against the dollar, the broader market narrative remains one of resilience. Bond yields and equity performance reflect cautious optimism, suggesting that both investors and policymakers are maintaining steady hands in a gradually stabilizing economy.