The Central Bank’s latest bulletin shows Sri Lanka production trending higher for paddy and coconut in July 2025, while fish, tea and rubber recorded declines, highlighting a mixed recovery across agricultural sectors.
Sri Lanka production shows paddy and coconut gains while fish, tea and rubber decline
The Central Bank’s Agriculture Data Bulletin for July 2025 reports mixed outcomes across Sri Lanka’s key commodities, with rice and coconut showing gains while fish, tea and rubber production fell. These Sri Lanka production figures provide early signals on seasonal recovery and emerging pressures across subsectors.
The Department of Agriculture’s forecast for the 2025 Yala season places paddy production at 2.2 million metric tons, an 11.7 percent increase from the previous Yala season. The annual paddy production forecast for 2025 is estimated at 4.8 million metric tons, a 2.7 percent rise from 2024, underlining stronger prospects for domestic rice supply.
Coconut production recorded a notable recovery in July, rising 25.7 percent year-on-year and reflecting steady improvement after earlier disruptions. This rebound supports coconut value chains and export-processing activities that depend on robust output.
Total fish production declined by 16.5 percent in July compared to the same month a year earlier, driven by a 4.9 percent dip in marine fish and a sharp 46.6 percent fall in inland catches; nevertheless, marine fish production for January–July recorded modest growth of 3.8 percent. These shifts highlight vulnerabilities in inland fisheries and uneven recovery across marine and inland sectors.
Tea production fell by 7.9 percent in July, although year-to-date figures show an overall increase so far in the year. Rubber output also contracted in July, according to provisional data from the Rubber Development Department, indicating short-term supply pressures that may require monitoring.
Taken together, the central bank’s bulletin suggests that Sri Lanka production patterns are diverging by commodity, with targeted policy support and continued investment in resilience needed to stabilise output and support farmers and fishers through seasonal shocks and structural adjustments.