Forex Market

Sri Lanka Rupee and Bonds Update – 04 Nov 2025

The Sri Lanka rupee opened weaker against the US dollar on Tuesday as investor sentiment remained cautious in financial markets. Despite currency pressure, government bond yields stayed largely unchanged, signaling steady demand from market participants.


Sri Lanka rupee dips while bond yields hold steady amid cautious trading


The Sri Lanka rupee began trading lower at 304.54/60 against the US dollar in the spot market on Tuesday, slipping slightly from the previous day’s close of 304.45/55. Currency dealers noted that mild importer demand and hesitant inflows contributed to the depreciation. While the rupee has shown resilience in recent weeks, analysts caution that external pressures and dollar demand could influence short-term volatility.

Parallel to currency developments, government securities performed with relative stability. The yield on the bond maturing on 15 March 2028 was quoted at 9.03 to 9.05 percent, unchanged from earlier sessions. Similarly, the bond due on 15 September 2029 traded around 9.53 to 9.55 percent. The 15 May 2030 bond saw yields between 9.65 and 9.69 percent, while the 15 March 2031 issue hovered around 10.00 to 10.05 percent. Longer-term debt maturing in December 2032 was quoted at 10.40 to 10.48 percent, reflecting steady investor interest in medium to long-term securities.

Market attention also shifted toward the ongoing Treasury bill auction, where the government aimed to raise 77,500 million rupees. Treasury bill results often influence liquidity conditions and investor expectations, making this auction a key focus for traders. Dealers said that depending on subscription levels, short-term interest rate movements could follow.

In the foreign exchange market, telegraphic transfer rates reflected broader currency dynamics. The US dollar was quoted at 300.8000 for buying and 307.8000 for selling. The British pound traded at 393.5574 buying and 404.9192 selling, while the euro stood at 343.8045 buying and 355.1677 selling. These rates indicate a mixed performance among major currencies, driven by global monetary policy shifts and investor sentiment.

Despite pressure on the currency, equity markets opened on a positive note. The Colombo Stock Exchange saw the All Share Price Index (ASPI) rise 0.34 percent, or 78.83 points, to 23,007.14. The S&P SL20 index edged up by 0.01 percent, gaining 0.43 points to reach 6,252.83. Market analysts suggested that improved corporate earnings expectations and selective buying contributed to the modest gains.

The performance of the Sri Lanka rupee remains closely linked to external debt repayments, remittance flows, and global interest rate trends. Market analysts note that although the central bank has maintained a cautious monetary stance, persistent risks remain. A stronger dollar globally and geopolitical uncertainties could extend short-term pressure on emerging market currencies.

However, the relatively stable bond yields indicate growing investor confidence in the country’s fiscal consolidation strategy. Investors continue to monitor inflation trends, policy signals from the Central Bank of Sri Lanka, and discussions surrounding international financial support mechanisms. If foreign exchange inflows improve through tourism or remittances, the rupee’s slide could ease in the coming weeks.

Economic observers emphasize the importance of maintaining policy consistency. As the government targets debt restructuring and fiscal discipline, investor perception becomes increasingly sensitive to policy announcements. In this environment, both the rupee and the bond market serve as barometers of economic stability and confidence.

For now, the Sri Lanka rupee is navigating a narrow path between market optimism and external uncertainty. While broader economic indicators show signs of gradual recovery, sustained attention to currency stability and debt management will be essential for long-term resilience.