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Market remains rangebound amid geopolitical uncertainty

Market remains rangebound amid geopolitical uncertainty as Sri Lanka’s equity market closed the session with marginal losses, reflecting subdued investor sentiment driven by ongoing global tensions and a lack of clear directional cues.


Market remains rangebound as geopolitical uncertainty weighs on sentiment


Colombo Stock Exchange ended the day on a cautious note, with both benchmark indices slipping slightly as geopolitical developments in the Middle East continued to weigh on market psychology. The absence of a clear resolution in the conflict contributed to a broadly defensive trading environment, where participants avoided taking aggressive positions.

Throughout the session, the market opened in a state of equilibrium and remained largely rangebound, with limited volatility and restrained participation. This behaviour reinforced the prevailing theme that the Market remains rangebound amid geopolitical uncertainty, as investors struggled to identify catalysts strong enough to drive sustained directional movement.

Cautious positioning dominated trading activity across sectors. Market participants adopted a wait-and-see approach, closely monitoring international developments before committing capital. This resulted in lower turnover and reduced trading volumes compared to recent sessions, indicating a gradual slowdown in risk appetite.

The Food, Beverage & Tobacco sector emerged as the leading contributor to market turnover, generating LKR 0.56 billion with 10.13 million shares traded. Within the sector, Ceylon Cold Stores PLC (CCS.N) was the key driver of activity, contributing LKR 0.32 billion in turnover from 2.79 million shares traded. Despite strong participation, the stock closed with a marginal decline, reflecting broader market weakness.

At the close of trading, the All Share Price Index (ASPI) declined by 73.23 points, or 0.32%, to settle at 22,566.58. The S&P SL20 index also edged lower by 8.11 points, or 0.13%, closing at 6,205.79. Total market turnover stood at LKR 2.82 billion, while share volume reached 125.99 million shares, underscoring a moderately active but cautious session.

Crossings accounted for LKR 0.46 billion, representing 16% of total turnover. The largest single crossing was recorded in CCS.N, valued at LKR 0.18 billion and involving 1.60 million shares. While crossings provided some liquidity, they did little to alter the overall subdued sentiment prevailing in the market.

Market breadth weakened further during the session, with 75 gainers compared to 133 decliners. This imbalance highlighted continued mild selling pressure across a broad range of counters, reinforcing the defensive tone observed throughout trading.

On the positive side, Hatton National Bank PLC (NHL.N) led index support, contributing +5.63 points to the ASPI. Other notable contributors included CCS.N, Commercial Bank of Ceylon PLC (COMB.N), Diesel & Motor Engineering PLC (DIMO.N), and Nations Trust Bank PLC (NTB.N), which collectively helped cushion broader losses.

On the downside, Bukit Darah PLC (BUKI.N) was the largest drag on the index, contributing -12.11 points. Additional pressure came from Lion Brewery (Ceylon) PLC (LION.N), Richard Pieris & Company PLC (RIL.N), BREW.N, and Sampath Bank PLC (SAMP.N), all of which weighed on overall performance.

Among individual stocks, NHL.N attracted heightened investor attention, recording turnover of LKR 0.13 billion and 9.0 million shares traded. The stock closed the session with a notable gain of 9.0%, making it one of the standout performers of the day despite the broader market weakness.

The overall trading pattern reflects a market still heavily influenced by external macroeconomic and geopolitical factors. In such an environment, investors are increasingly selective, focusing on liquidity-driven opportunities rather than broad-based exposure. This selective behaviour is a key reason why the Market remains rangebound amid geopolitical uncertainty, with limited momentum emerging in either direction.

From a sectoral perspective, financials and consumer-related stocks continued to dominate activity, although gains were uneven and frequently offset by losses in other segments. The absence of strong institutional buying interest further contributed to the lack of upward momentum.

Market analysts suggest that until global geopolitical tensions show signs of easing, and clearer macroeconomic signals emerge, the local equity market is likely to remain in consolidation mode. This includes continued rangebound movement, subdued volatility, and episodic trading driven by stock-specific developments rather than broad market trends.

In conclusion, the session underscored a market operating under cautious equilibrium. While liquidity remains adequate and selective opportunities exist, overall sentiment is constrained by external uncertainty. As a result, the Market remains rangebound amid geopolitical uncertainty, with investors awaiting clearer signals before committing to more decisive positioning.